Yes Virginia, Prices are Going Up Again
Rosbalt, a Russian business news site, is reporting that due to the customs union which will be adapted on 1 Jan 2010, Kazakhstan will correct 50% of customs tariffs [RU]. The article is short so I’ll reproduce it here, in my translation.
In preparation for the work of the Customs Union (Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan), the largest number of adjustments of the tariffs will have to be made by Kazakhstan. Andrey Tochin, representative of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia to the Commission on the Customs Union, reported this to a correspondent of Rosbalt.
“Regading Kazakhstan, they will have to change half of their tariffs. 40% of these adjustments will mean an increase in prices”, noted Tochin. In his opinion, this is the way to create preferential conditions for Russian goods in Kazakhstan.
According to Tochin, 80% of the unified customs tariffs which were approved on 27 November by the heads of state [of Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus] in Minsk are in agreement with Russian policy. Therefore, Russia will not have to make large adjustments. “Only 10% of the current rates will be changed. Most of them will be decreased,” noted the official.
Belarus will also have to make minor adjustments in its tariffs. But a spokesman for the Ministry did not specify what will these changes.
So 1) Russia is announcing what Kazakhstan will do and 2) this is being reported in Russian newspapers but seems to get scant attention in the Kazakhstany press (as far as I can see, except for a vague statement by the Minister of the Economy that I wrote about here). And 3) Russian policy is being followed 80% of the time and 4) prices are going up again! Oh, and 5) Russian officials are stating baldly that these moves are good for Russian products, not good for all three nations.
It seems very strange that Kazakhstan and Belarus are entering a union the terms of which are being set by Moscow in order to benefit Russia. Now I’m not an economist, but I am not looking forward to the market being flooded with Russian goods and imported goods becoming more expensive. I need my macaroni and cheese and my books in English, people!
In all seriousness, as I glance around my home, most of the food and everyday household goods we buy was manufactured in Kazakhstan or Russia (including a lot of foreign brands). But most everything else came from somewhere else, from the furniture to the pens to the appliances. I’m not clear on how this will improve the quality of our life, and I’m not sure that Kazakhstani companies will benefit since it seems to me that people in Kazakhstan already buy a lot of goods that were made in Russia, so I don’t see that Russians will start buying Kazakhstan goods.
I’d love to hear in the comments what others think about this union, and if anyone has lived in Russia, are Kazakhstan-made goods bought there? Are our companies competitive?
[ Disclaimer – I am by no means a trained economist nor do I play one on TV ]
I dunno the only thing I could really think to compare this to would be NAFTA, with sadly KZ and Belarus being the Mexico and Canada respectfully. I think there WILL be advantages in the long run for KZ, I think the country will see more Russian investment over Turkish/European. And possibly more outsourcing of work from RU. I also think it will help KZ farmers expand there market into the north. As far as these original tariff increases from what I have read they will only be temp. (6 months according to RFE.) You would have to imagine trying to sync the trading of countries serving such vastly differant countries would take some extreme measures. I just can’t see the leadership of this country really taking the shaft from RU or allowing prices esp. food to balloon too greatly. Finally…haha I’m leaving ! Shoot me your adde and you and I will create our own trade union ( 24 boxes of Kraft Shells and Cheese…I’ll give you a good deal )
A great blog on Kaz; for more info, too, specifically on Kaz economy, there’s the Caspian Business Journal at http://www.caspibiz.com and Aizhan Mitteldorf’s twitter feed.